Tag Archives: climate-change

Is AI the New Oil? Not if you Compare it to… Oil

There is currently a considerable discourse about how AI is wrecking the environment. It is absolutely true that there are more datacenters getting made and they – on average – use a lot of water and a good deal of energy.

But there are a lot of worse offenders. Data centers consume about 4.5% of electricity in the US. That’s for everything. Chatbots, image generators, the WordPress instance that you are reading now, Netflix streaming gigabytes of data per second – everything.

But there are much bigger energy users. To generate enough tokens for the entire Lord of the Rings trilogy, a LLama3 model probably uses about 5 watt/hours. Transportation – a much larger energy consumer shows how small this is. A Tesla Model 3 could manage to go about 25 feet, or a bit under 10 meters on 5 watts. Transportation, manufacturing, and energy production use a lot more energy:

Source: Wikipedia

If you want to make some changes in energy consumption. Go after small improvements in the big consumers. Reduce energy consumption in say, electricity production (37%) by doubling solar from 1.87% to 3.74%, and that’s the equivalent of cutting the power use of AI by 50%.

In addition to energy consumption, data centers require cooling. And they use a lot, though that is steadily being optimized down. On average a data center uses about 32 million gallons of water for cooling per year.

Sounds like a lot, right?

Let’s look at the oil and gas industry. The process of fracking, where water is injected at high pressure into oil and gas containing rock from about 2,500 wells uses about 11 million gallons annually to produce crude oil. So data centers are worse that fracking!

But hold on. You still have to process that oil. And it turns out that for every barrel of oil refined in the US, about 1.5 barrels of water are used. The USA refines about 5.5 billion barrels of oil per year. Combine that with the fracking numbers and the oil and gas industry uses about 500 billion gallons of water per year, or 5 times the amount of data centers doing all the things data centers do, including AI.

To keep this short, we are not going to even talk about the water use of agriculture here.

So why all the ink spilled to talk about this. Well, AI is new and it gets clicks, but I went to look at google trends to see how the discussion of water use for AI and Fracking, and I got an interesting relationship:

The amount of discussion about Fracking in this case has leveled off as the discussion of AI has taken off. And given the history that the oil industry has in generating FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt), I would not be in the least surprised if it turns out that the oil industry is fueling the moral panic about AI to distract us from the real dangers and to keep those businesses profitable.

Here’s the spreadsheet where I worked out most of this, with links:

Update: July 22, 2025. The French AI firm Mistral has published a study on the energy use of their Large 2 Model

Update: August 26, 2025. The Washington Post did a good writeup on AI resource use: ChatGPT is an energy guzzler. These things you’re doing are worse.

Update: August 30, 2025, Another writeup, which seems well thought through. I Was Wrong About Data Center Water Consumption. Among the sources cited for water use is evaporation from reservoirs used for hydropower. It’s not that this is wrong per se, but it gives an idea of – ahem – how fluid the facts used to support the argument can be.